The President of the United States, on Saturday, on a phone call to Fox News, told the host that the American campaign in Iran was “way ahead of schedule.” He said, in the same call, that Iran had been “decimated.” He said, in the same call, that the war was “essentially won.”

The Defense Secretary, on the same Saturday morning, on a separate appearance, on a different network, told the host that the campaign “demands more time, demands more strikes, demands a sustained operational tempo.” He did not, in his appearance, use the phrase “way ahead of schedule.” He did not, in his appearance, use the phrase “essentially won.” He used, instead, the phrase “the work is not finished.”

The standard interpretive convention, in the case of two senior officials offering opposite descriptions of the same operation on the same morning, is that there is a coordination problem. There is, by the documentary record of the past two weeks, a coordination problem.

A reporter, at the next day’s briefing, asked the Press Secretary which of the two descriptions was operative. The Press Secretary said both.

The two descriptions are not, by any reasonable construction of English, simultaneously operative. A campaign cannot be both ahead of schedule and demanding more time. Either the schedule has been revised downward, in which case the campaign is on the new schedule, or the schedule has not been revised, in which case the President’s statement is the operative one and the Defense Secretary’s is the off-message one. The Press Secretary’s “both” is the rhetorical mechanism by which the contradiction is permitted to persist on the official record.

The administration has not, on the public record, published a written schedule for the operation. The Pentagon, in closed-door briefings to Congress, has provided what one senator’s office described as “a series of phased objective timelines” that are “subject to revision.” A timeline subject to revision is, in operational practice, not a schedule. It is a planning artifact. The White House has, through the Press Secretary, repeatedly described the operation as “on track” without saying which track.

What is, in the end, on the public record, is the cost. The cost, by the Pentagon’s own count delivered to the Senate Wednesday, is $11.3 billion through day six. The cost, by independent analysis, is north of $16.5 billion through day twelve. The cost, by the Pentagon’s own request to the White House this week, is a supplemental request of more than $200 billion to fund the next phase. The phrase “ahead of schedule” does not, in the documentary record, accompany a $200 billion supplemental request.

Two networks, two senior officials, two contradictory descriptions, one taxpayer base.

A serious country, in a serious moment, would issue a single description and let the public hold it to account. A less serious country would do what is being done: issue both, on Saturday morning, on tape, and let the contradictions live on the channels that prefer the version their viewers prefer.

Calmly documenting the decline.

FINAL · /100

The breakdown.

  • Factual basis Both quotes are on tape. Both have been replayed in full.
    18/25
  • Self-awareness The administration has not, to date, published a written schedule.
    5/20
  • Staff containment The Press Secretary, asked which version was operative, said both.
    6/20
  • Recovery attempt None offered.
    4/15
  • Public spectacle Lead of the Saturday morning shows.
    12/20

Was this dumb enough?

Members can adjust the score. Become a member.

Underlying fact — Al Jazeera